Tag: Habitat Loss

The Impact of Climate Change and Habitat Loss on African Elephants in the Greater Virunga Landscape: A Dynamic Simulation Study

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Artwork for Bill Madden’s music video “Mother”. The artwork was created by Kasia Haldas. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0.

Introduction

African elephants, the majestic giants of the savannah and forests, are facing unprecedented threats from habitat loss, human-wildlife conflicts, and the looming specter of climate change. A recent study by Simon Nampindo and Timothy O. Randhir, published on January 31, 2024, in PLOS Sustainability & Transformation, uses dynamic modeling to unravel how these factors are influencing elephant populations in the Greater Virunga Landscape (GVL), a biodiversity hotspot in Africa.

Greater Virunga Landscape with vegetation map.
Greater Virunga Landscape (GVL) with vegetation map. Developed by Simon Nampindo and Timothy O. Randhir in collaboration with the WCS Uganda program. The GVL straddles Uganda, Rwanda, and the Democratic Republic of Congo.

Understanding the African Elephant Crisis

The African elephant, once roaming freely across vast stretches of the continent, is now confined to fragmented habitats, with populations experiencing alarming declines. The 2016 IUCN African Elephant Status Report highlighted a 30% decline over ten years, with human activities and climate change at the heart of this crisis. Elephants play a pivotal role in their ecosystems, from seed dispersal to landscape modification, making their decline a matter of global environmental concern.

The Study: A Closer Look

Nampindo and Randhir’s study is a testament to innovative conservation science, employing dynamic simulation models to analyze the effects of changing climates, habitat loss, and water resource availability on the age-class structure of elephant populations. Their research, underpinned by data from the GVL — an area spanning Uganda, Rwanda, and the Democratic Republic of Congo — provides a comprehensive understanding of how different age classes of elephants respond to environmental stressors. This approach is crucial for developing targeted conservation strategies.

Conceptual model for population dynamics of elephants in GVL, linking climate, habitat changes, and resource variability to population shifts over 50 years.
Conceptual model for population dynamics of elephants in GVL, linking climate, habitat changes, and resource variability to population shifts over 50 years.

Key Findings

The study reveals several critical insights:

  • Climate Change Impacts: Older elephants are more vulnerable to climate change, affecting their survivability and migration patterns. This vulnerability is attributed to direct impacts, such as disease and physiological stress, and indirect ones, like habitat alteration and drought-induced deaths such as fire and risk of predation.
  • Habitat and Water Resources: An improvement in habitat quality and water availability positively affects elephant populations, emphasizing the need for conservation efforts that enhance these critical resources.
  • Future Projections: Without mitigating environmental and anthropogenic stressors, the GVL could see a demographic shift towards younger elephants, potentially impacting the long-term viability of these populations.

Conservation Implications

The research underscores the necessity for a transboundary management approach, incorporating climate change mitigation, cooperation among conservation agencies, and partnerships with relevant stakeholders. It also highlights the importance of understanding age-specific responses of elephants to environmental changes, facilitating the development of comprehensive conservation strategies that address water availability and habitat quality.

To ensure the survival of African elephants in the face of climate change and habitat loss, the study recommends:

  • Enhanced Transboundary Cooperation: Strengthening collaboration across borders to ensure cohesive conservation efforts.
  • Habitat Restoration and Protection: Implementing measures to improve habitat quality and connectivity, including reforestation and the establishment of wildlife corridors.
  • Community Engagement: Involving local communities in conservation efforts, providing them with sustainable livelihood options to reduce human-wildlife conflicts.

The study by Nampindo and Randhir offers a critical roadmap for the conservation of African elephants in the Greater Virunga Landscape. By focusing on the dynamic interplay between climate change, habitat loss, and elephant population dynamics, their work provides valuable insights for crafting resilient conservation strategies. As we face the challenges of a changing planet, such research is indispensable for guiding our efforts to preserve the natural world and its magnificent inhabitants.

Final Thoughts

This comprehensive study not only advances our understanding of the intricate relationships between elephants and their environment but also serves as a clarion call for urgent, collaborative conservation action. The fate of Africa’s elephants hangs in the balance, and it is incumbent upon us all to heed this call and act decisively to secure their future.

Red List calls out ‘perfect storm of unsustainable human activity decimating marine life’

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Turtle at Sea. Photo by Jeremy Bishop

“As the world looks to the ongoing U.N. Biodiversity Conference to set the course for nature recovery, we simply cannot afford to fail,” said the head of the International Union for Conservation of Nature.

By Jessica Corbett, Common Dreams

During the United Nations biodiversity summit in Montreal, an international conversation group on Friday highlighted how humanity is dangerously failing marine life with illegal and unsustainable fishing, pollution from agricultural and industrial runoff, and activities that drive up global temperatures.

The International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) Red List of Threatened Species now features 150,388 species, 42,108 of which face possible extinction. Of the 17,903 marine animals and plants on the list, more than 1,550 are at risk.

“Today’s IUCN Red List update reveals a perfect storm of unsustainable human activity decimating marine life around the globe. As the world looks to the ongoing U.N. Biodiversity Conference to set the course for nature recovery, we simply cannot afford to fail,” Bruno Oberle, the group’s director general, warned Friday. “We urgently need to address the linked climate and biodiversity crises, with profound changes to our economic systems, or we risk losing the crucial benefits the oceans provide us with.”

The primary aim of the 15th Conference of the Parties (COP15) of the Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD)—which is hosted by China but kicked off earlier in Canada this week due to Covid-19 restrictions—is the development of post-2020 global biodiversity framework (GBF).

A top priority for many parties to the treaty—along with the United States, which has failed to ratify the CBD over the past three decades but is still participating in the summit—is to protect 30% of lands and waters by 2030. However, as activists and Indigenous leaders from around the world have noted, there are serious human rights concerns regarding implementation of the 30×30 goal.

COP15 comes after the fifth round of discussions about establishing a U.N. treaty for the high seas, or the two-thirds of oceans outside territorial waters. Those August talks failed to produce an agreement—which, as Laura Meller of Greenpeace’s Protect the Oceans campaign warned at the time, “jeopardizes the livelihoods and food security of billions of people around the world.”

“While progress has been made, particularly on ocean sanctuaries, members of the High Ambition Coalition and countries like the USA have moved too slowly to find compromises, despite their commitments,” Meller continued. “Time has run out. Further delay means ocean destruction. We are sad and disappointed. While countries continue to talk, the oceans and all those who rely on them will suffer.”

Similarly, urgent warnings came with the update Friday. Ashleigh McGovern, vice president of the Center for Oceans at Conservation International, said that “with this devastating IUCN Red List update on the status of marine species, it is clear that business as usual is no longer an option.”

“Human activity has had devastating effects on marine ecosystems and biodiversity, but it can also be harnessed to drive action as a matter of survival, equity, and climate justice,” she added. “If we are to secure a new future for the world’s oceans and the essential biodiversity they harbor, we must act now.”

Jon Paul Rodríguez, chair of the IUCN Species Survival Commission (SSC), pointed out that “most of the Earth’s biosphere, 99% of all livable space on our planet, is underwater.”

“Humanity acts as if oceans were inexhaustible, capable of sustaining infinite harvest of algae, animals, and plants for food and other products, able to transform vast quantities of sewage and other pollutants that we pour in coastal areas, and absorb the CO2 generated by land-use change and burning fossil fuel,” he said. “This Red List update brings to light new evidence of the multiple interacting threats to declining life in the sea.”

According to the IUCN Red List, 20 of the 54 abalone species—some of the world’s most expensive seafood—are threatened with extinction.

“Abalones reflect humanity’s disastrous guardianship of our oceans in microcosm: overfishing, pollution, disease, habitat loss, algal blooms, warming, and acidification, to name but a few threats. They really are the canary in the coal mine,” said Howard Peters, a member of the IUCN SSC Mollusc Specialist Group and research associate at the U.K.’s University of York who led the abalone assessment.

“The most immediate action people can take is to eat only farmed or sustainably sourced abalones. Enforcing fishery quotas and anti-poaching measures is also critical,” Peters noted. “However, we need to halt the changes to ocean chemistry and temperature to preserve marine life including abalone species over the long term.”

The update also raised the alarm about dugongs, particularly in East Africa and New Caledonia. Populations of the large herbivorous marine mammals are threatened by fishing gear, oil and gas exploration and production, chemical pollution, and the destruction of seagrasses they rely on for food.

“Strengthening community-led fisheries governance and expanding work opportunities beyond fishing are key in East Africa, where marine ecosystems are fundamental to people’s food security and livelihoods,” said Evan Trotzuk, who led the region’s assessment.

Another focus of the list is the pillar coral in the Caribbean, given that its population has shrunk by more than 80% across most of its range over the past three decades.

Noting that it is just one of 26 corals now listed as critically endangered in the Atlantic Ocean, Arizona State University associate professor Beth Polidoro, Red List coordinator for the IUCN SSC Coral Specialist Group, said that “these alarming results emphasize the urgency of global cooperation and action to address climate change impacts on ocean ecosystems.”

Amanda Vincent, chair of the IUCN SSC Marine Conservation Committee, declared that “the awful status of these species should shock us and engage us for urgent action.”

“These magical marine species are treasured wildlife, from the wonderful abalone to the charismatic dugong and the glorious pillar coral, and we should safeguard them accordingly,” she added. “It is vital that we manage fisheries properly, constrain climate change, and reverse habitat degradation.”

Nodding to the conference, Jane Smart, director of IUCN’s Science and Data Center, said the update reinforces her group’s “urgent call for a post-2020 global biodiversity framework that will be ambitious enough to cease destruction of our life support system and catalyze the necessary action and change to secure life on this planet.”