Earlier this month, President Trump signed an executive order weakening the National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA). The order lifts the environmental review of major projects. It allows fast-tracking construction projects in a bid to boost the economy.
In the long-term, this is harmful to the environment, further endangers the lives of animals, and will have a disproportionately harmful effect on black, Latino, and Native American communities.
For thousands of years, humans have concentrated in a surprisingly narrow subset of Earth’s available climates, characterized by mean annual temperatures around ∼13 °C. This distribution likely reflects a human temperature niche related to fundamental constraints.
The researchers demonstrate that depending on scenarios of population growth and warming, over the coming 50 years, 1 to 3 billion people are projected to be left outside the climate conditions that have served humanity well over the past 6,000 years.
Absent climate mitigation or migration, a substantial part of humanity will be exposed to mean annual temperatures warmer than nearly anywhere today.
Video overview of the research article “Future of the human climate niche,” by Chi Xu, Timothy A. Kohler, Timothy M. Lenton, Jens-Christian Svenning, and Marten Scheffer, PNAS May 26, 2020 117 (21) 11350-11355; first published May 4, 2020. Contributed by Marten Scheffer, October 27, 2019 (sent for review June 12, 2019; reviewed by Victor Galaz and Luke Kemp).
The ongoing sixth mass species extinction is the result of the destruction of component populations leading to eventual extirpation of entire species. Populations and species extinctions have severe implications for society through the degradation of ecosystem services.
Research Article
Vertebrates on the brink as indicators of biological annihilation and the sixth mass extinction
Gerardo Ceballos, Paul R. Ehrlich, and Peter H. Raven, PNAS first published June 1, 2020. Contributed by Gerardo Ceballos, March 22, 2020 (sent for review December 26, 2019; reviewed by Thomas E. Lovejoy and Jorge L. Soberon).
The writers assess the extinction crisis from a different perspective. They examine 29,400 species of terrestrial vertebrates, and determine which are on the brink of extinction because they have fewer than 1,000 individuals. There are 515 species on the brink (1.7% of the evaluated vertebrates). Around 94% of the populations of 77 mammal and bird species on the brink have been lost in the last century. Assuming all species on the brink have similar trends, more than 237,000 populations of those species have vanished since 1900. They conclude the human-caused sixth mass extinction is likely accelerating for several reasons. First, many of the species that have been driven to the brink will likely become extinct soon. Second, the distribution of those species highly coincides with hundreds of other endangered species, surviving in regions with high human impacts, suggesting ongoing regional biodiversity collapses. Third, close ecological interactions of species on the brink tend to move other species toward annihilation when they disappear—extinction breeds extinctions. Finally, human pressures on the biosphere are growing rapidly, and a recent example is the current coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) pandemic, linked to wildlife trade. Their results reemphasize the extreme urgency of taking much-expanded worldwide actions to save wild species and humanity’s crucial life-support systems from this existential threat.